You already have an edge. Whether you trade futures, commodities, options, or currencies, your advantage is likely in direction, volatility, or both. The real challenge is timing.
Major catalysts like WASDE reports, CPI, and central bank decisions create turning points. When price fails to react the way it "should," that's a News Failure. NewsFailures identifies these moments immediately, giving you a clear entry signal to apply your edge with precision.
Watch the full walkthrough — from spotting a news failure to reading the signal and understanding the trade setup.
Automated download and parsing of monthly USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates. Extracts ending stocks projections for corn, wheat, soybeans, cotton, sugar, livestock, and more.
Proprietary algorithm compares the direction of the fundamental surprise (bullish or bearish) against the 1-day market return. When they diverge beyond noise thresholds, a News Failure is flagged.
Scrapes real-time economic calendar data covering CPI, Core CPI, NFP, PPI, EIA inventories, ISM PMI, Durable Goods, and 60+ macro events with proper sentiment rules.
15-instrument real-time dashboard with auto-refreshing prices every 60 seconds. Shows current price, change, and active News Failure status for each commodity.
Complete database of WASDE reactions from 2020 to present. 360+ data points with price reactions, surprise calculations, and failure classifications for backtesting.
Built-in scheduler triggers the full pipeline on WASDE release days at 12:05 PM ET. Daily economic calendar refresh runs at 8 AM ET. No manual intervention needed.
Drill into individual commodities to see their full history of surprises, returns, and failure patterns. Identify which commodities produce the most reliable signals.
122 event-to-instrument mappings ensure each economic release is matched to the correct futures contract with the right sentiment rule (bullish vs. bearish on surprise direction).
Circuit breakers, retry with exponential backoff, rate limit handling, and graceful degradation. The platform stays online even when data sources are temporarily unavailable.
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